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Economic sustainability of highly vulnerable countries under climate change

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dc.contributor.author Mazzolli, Marcelo
dc.date.accessioned 2013-09-27T22:57:48Z
dc.date.available 2013-09-27T22:57:48Z
dc.date.issued 2012-06-19
dc.identifier.citation Mazzolli, M. (2012). Economic sustainability of highly vulnerable countries under climate change , In Journal of Sustainable Development; Vol. 5, no. 7. pp. 166-170 en_GB
dc.identifier.issn 1913-9063
dc.identifier.uri http://www.taccire.sua.ac.tz/handle/123456789/183
dc.description.abstract It is not known whether impacts of climate change may grow so intense as to threaten permanently the economic sustainability of countries. In this article, the mid-term impact of climate change was modeled for countries ranked amongst the most vulnerable to climate change. The Gross National Income (GNI) growth rates of three countries highly vulnerable to climate change (Pakistan, Somalia and Burkina Faso) were compared with expected economic losses from disasters, using a dataset that spanned from 1980 to 2010. It was found, in average, that GNI have doubled each decade, while economic losses to disaster have doubled every three decades. The results suggest that the impact is likely to be smaller in the future than it is now, as long as growth rates of both GNI and climate-related losses are maintained. Given the current scenario, localized regions and economies are the ones that seem to be most likely to be affected by climate change. en_GB
dc.description.sponsorship FAPESC and Project Aquifero Guarani/Serra Geral Network en_GB
dc.language.iso en en_GB
dc.publisher Canadian center of Science and Education en_GB
dc.subject Economy en_GB
dc.subject Geopolitics en_GB
dc.subject Natural Disasters en_GB
dc.subject Thresholds en_GB
dc.subject climate change impact en_GB
dc.subject climate change en_GB
dc.subject Gross National Income en_GB
dc.subject economic sustainability en_GB
dc.title Economic sustainability of highly vulnerable countries under climate change en_GB
dc.type Article en_GB

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